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The World Bank's natural gas price index rose nearly 4% in November to its highest since December 2023, driven by an 8% jump in the European benchmark. Projections call for European prices to rise in 2025 and US prices to increase significantly.
Upside risks include Middle East conflict, Ukrainian transit uncertainty and colder weather.
The outlook for rising gas prices in 2025 points to higher costs for nitrogen fertilizer and energy-intensive feed processing. Geopolitical risks add upside volatility.
blogs.worldbank.orgPaolo Agnolucci, Nikita Makarenko17 Des 2024Setelah 155 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Gas Alam bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -4,0% sampai +7,1%), dan +2,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
