Spot gold fell more than 2% below $2,600 on December 18 after the Fed cut rates but its dot plot showed only two cuts for 2025. Powell said inflation risks remain tilted to the upside and that the 2% target could take one to two years to reach.
The hawkish dot plot lifts real yields and the dollar, pressuring gold and other dollar-priced commodities. Feed buyers should expect firmer dollar conditions to weigh on import-currency purchasing power into 2025.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.