
Phosphate inventories in North America are well below average, with supply reduced by lower Chinese MAP and DAP exports, US tariffs on Moroccan phosphate, and Florida hurricanes that halted production for a month. A Nutrien representative said tight phosphate conditions are unlikely to ease in 2025.
Tight supply against weak crop prices makes phosphate expensive relative to grain, which squeezes farm margins and supports DAP and phosphate rock prices. The outlook implies continued elevated phosphate costs through the spring season.
Setelah 193 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, DAP bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +1,8%), dan +1,9% selama 20 sesi.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.