
India issued its first urea tender of 2025 for 1.5 million tonnes, with shipment spread into June. The announcement alone lowered urea prices by $7 to $12 per tonne.
Ammonium sulfate and nitrate prices were little changed, and world MAP prices had risen $25 to $30 per tonne since early March.
The tender's long two-plus month delivery window is pressuring urea prices lower, while rising phosphate prices raise the cost of DAP and MAP. Buyers of phosphate-based inputs should expect higher costs even as nitrogen eases.
Setelah 81 peristiwa perdagangan bearish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median -1,0% selama 5 sesi (28% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -7,2% sampai +0,4%), dan -5,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 193 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, DAP bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +1,8%), dan +1,9% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
India's first 2025 urea tender of 1.5 Mt marks the demand return that sets up price recovery, though the announcement initially lowered prices and the timing is a few days ahead of the move.