
Fertilizer analysts say the Israel-Iran strikes pushed North American urea prices up about $50-60 per ton, with international markets rising substantially as wartime premiums are priced in. Even without direct damage to production at that point, the market was reacting to supply risk from the region.
Iran is a major nitrogen and potash trade player, and the region is critical for global fertilizer shipments.
Wartime premiums are lifting nitrogen prices in advance of confirmed supply losses, raising the cost of fertilizer for grain and feed producers. Continued risk to Middle East exports could keep urea and related prices elevated.
Setelah 205 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (53% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,1% sampai +3,0%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.