
StoneX's Josh Linville says Iranian and Egyptian nitrogen production shut down after the strikes, removing the third and fourth largest urea exporters from the market. Global urea prices rose between 20 and 40 percent within days.
Supply tightness persists even though a ceasefire has been reached.
Losing two major exporters at once has pushed urea to sharply higher levels, and the tightness is expected to keep fertilizer prices elevated. Higher nitrogen costs also raise the cost of corn and other feed-grain production.
Setelah 205 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (53% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,1% sampai +3,0%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.