
The Japanese yen has fallen 2.4% against the US dollar and 1.4% against the Swiss franc since Israel launched missile attacks on Iranian nuclear and military targets on June 13. Crude oil has spiked since the conflict began, and Japan imports nearly all its oil.
The rise in crude threatens Japan's trade balance and weakens the yen's usual safe-haven appeal.
Higher crude raises Japan's import bill and weakens the yen, which lifts USD/JPY and adds cost pressure for Japanese feed and energy buyers. The effect on Japanese exporters' earnings may be short-lived because energy costs rise.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Setelah 323 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median +0,7% selama 5 sesi (58% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,9% sampai +3,7%), dan +1,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.