
On June 24, 2025 the dollar fell and the euro reached its highest level since October 2021 after Iran and Israel announced a ceasefire. Fed Chair Powell said he still expected inflation to rise this summer.
Traders said the market was unwinding its Middle East risk trade.
Reduced geopolitical risk lowered safe-haven demand for the dollar, which weakened it against the euro. A weaker dollar supports dollar-priced commodities, while lower oil prices reduce energy and freight costs for feed supply chains.
Setelah 33 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,6% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,8% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 255 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median -2,4% selama 5 sesi (31% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -7,0% sampai +1,7%), dan -5,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.