
On June 26, 2025 the dollar fell to its lowest level since 2021 against the euro and sterling. Futures traders priced a 23% chance of a July Fed cut and about 93% odds of a cut by September.
Traders expected about 66 basis points of cuts by year-end.
Expected Fed rate cuts reduce the dollar's yield advantage, which weakens the currency and tends to support dollar-denominated commodity prices. Lower US rates can also ease financing costs for feed and livestock operations.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.