
Oil prices have stayed in a narrow band despite a roughly 15% gain in January, with Brent above $70 a barrel, its highest since last July. Fears of a possible fresh U.S. strike on Iran have been a key support, while rising output from other producers, including key OPEC members, has capped gains.
Tehran has vowed to retaliate against any U.S. strike, including by hitting neighbouring states.
Rising Iran risk premium lifts energy costs for feed producers through diesel, natural gas and fertilizer inputs. Ample OPEC supply limits how far crude can rally without an actual supply disruption.
Setelah 626 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median +2,1% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,3% sampai +8,5%), dan +1,6% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 656 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median +1,9% selama 5 sesi (63% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,7% sampai +6,6%), dan +0,7% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.