
Diesel markets are tightening due to Strait of Hormuz disruptions, with an estimated 3 to 4 million barrels per day of supply affected, roughly 5% to 12% of global consumption. An additional 500,000 bpd of diesel exports from the Middle East is blocked.
Lost diesel supply raises global fuel costs for farm and freight logistics and could slow the economy, which weighs on demand for feed-linked goods. Energy costs also feed into fertilizer and biofuel economics.
Setelah 250 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, ULSD / Solar bergerak median +1,7% selama 5 sesi (58% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -3,6% sampai +8,7%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 656 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median +1,9% selama 5 sesi (63% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,7% sampai +6,6%), dan +0,7% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
An estimated 3-4 mb/d of diesel supply was affected, plus 500k bpd of Middle East diesel exports blocked, a distillate-specific supply mechanism that explains diesel outperformance.