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31 Mar 2026LAPORANAS

CRMAgri - Latest - USDA Highlights: Wheat prices gain after US sowings forecast at lowest on record

USDA's Prospective Plantings report put 2026 all-wheat plantings at 43.8M acres, the lowest since records began in 1919 and 1.0M acres below trade expectations. Winter wheat conditions in southern Plains states continued to deteriorate, with Kansas good/excellent ratings down 20 points this year, and HRW futures hit their highest spot level since June 2024.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

Smaller acreage plus Plains drought points to a smaller US wheat crop, supporting wheat prices and feed-grain substitution costs. Market reaction is bullish across SRW, HRW and spring classes.

BERDAMPAK PADAGandum (SRW)▲Kedelai Jagung Barli◆Gandum (HRW)▲

1 SUMBER
crmagri.comMike Verdin31 Mar 2026

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Gandum (SRW)▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +0,6%5d -0,7%20d +1,7%

Setelah 769 peristiwa laporan bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (53% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,0%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.

10 Des 2024USDA forecasts lower US wheat stocks, raises corn exports in latest WASDE report | Feed & Grain-0,2%
10 Agu 2017USDA Forecasts Record-High Soybean Production in 2017-0,2%
12 Mei 2026Lowest Hard Red Winter Wheat Production Since 1957 Highlighted in Latest WASDE Report - Oklahoma Farm Report+2,0%
10 Mar 2021Wheat inches lower, subdued USDA forecast caps losses - Markets - Business Recorder-0,4%
30 Sep 2022UPDATE 1-U.S. Wheat Harvest Falls Below Forecasts; Prices Rally+0,4%

Kedelaitidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d +1,0%5d -0,1%20d +1,1%

Setelah 2.389 peristiwa laporan sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median 0,0% selama 5 sesi (50% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,6% sampai +1,9%), dan +0,1% selama 20 sesi.

10 Des 2024USDA forecasts lower US wheat stocks, raises corn exports in latest WASDE report | Feed & Grain-0,8%
15 Mei 2025USDA forecasts lower US soybean stocks, record crush for 2025/26 | Feed & Grain-0,4%
10 Agu 2017USDA Forecasts Record-High Soybean Production in 2017-4,3%
13 Agu 2024USDA forecasts record US soybean production and higher stocks, above market estimates - Fastmarkets-5,5%
17 Agu 2021Corn prices rise again after USDA cuts crop estimates | Feed Strategy-6,0%

Jagungtidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d +0,4%5d -1,0%20d +1,7%

Setelah 3.207 peristiwa laporan sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +1,7%), dan +0,5% selama 20 sesi.

14 Mei 2025USDA forecasts lower wheat, corn, sorghum prices for 2025/26+3,8%
10 Des 2024USDA forecasts lower US wheat stocks, raises corn exports in latest WASDE report | Feed & Grain+1,6%
14 Jul 2025USDA forecasts lower corn supplies, higher biofuel demand in latest outlook | Feed & Grain+0,9%
10 Agu 2017USDA Forecasts Record-High Soybean Production in 2017-4,5%
10 Mar 2021Wheat inches lower, subdued USDA forecast caps losses - Markets - Business Recorder-9,5%

Barli◆netral

Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Pergerakan harga terkait

Gandum (HRW)+8,8%5 periode sampai 15 Apr 20263,0σ
Record-low US wheat plantings and deteriorating Kansas HRW conditions tightened expected supply and pushed HRW futures to their highest since mid-2024, which supports the price move.

Gandum (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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Kedelai SOY · GP ▸

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