The dollar dipped against most major currencies on Monday as traders assessed whether progress toward ending the Iran war was likely soon. Oil rose about 2% to a two-week high on supply worries, despite a report that the US would waive some Iranian crude sanctions.
Markets priced about a 51% chance of a Fed rate hike.
Oil-driven inflation fears keep Fed hike odds elevated, which supports the dollar and weighs on dollar-priced commodities. Swings in crude also move input and freight costs.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 487 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median +1,0% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,0% sampai +4,0%), dan +1,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.