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The India Meteorological Department says most global models forecast El Niño during the monsoon season, possibly lasting until early 2027. IMD has forecast a below-normal 2026 monsoon at 92% of the long-period average.
The agency warns of lower rainfall during both the kharif and rabi seasons.
A weak monsoon threatens Indian kharif rice and other crop output, which could cut domestic supply and lift global rice prices as India's export availability tightens.
thehindubusinessline.comPrabhudatta Mishra1 Mei 2026Setelah 179 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gabah bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (55% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,5%), dan +2,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
