Morocco's OCP cut production about 30% in the second quarter after sulphur prices rose following Hormuz disruptions. It is returning to full output by the end of June and shifting toward low-sulphur TSP, which now makes up 65% of its Nutricrops volumes.
Full OCP output adds DAP supply, which is bearish for DAP prices. The shift to TSP supports TSP supply and reduces the sulphur exposure that drove costs higher.
Setelah 126 peristiwa geopolitik sebelumnya, DAP bergerak median 0,0% selama 5 sesi (48% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,7% sampai +1,2%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
OCP's return to full output by end-June and its shift to low-sulphur TSP point to more Moroccan phosphate supply and less sulphur dependence, which is bearish for DAP.