
Deutsche Bank says the hawkish debut by Fed Chair Warsh pushed markets to fully price a hike by October, with September odds rising from 36% to 80%. Two-year Treasury yields hit a 15-month high of 4.19%, and the Dollar Index gained against all G10 currencies.
A sharp rise in short-term yields and a firmer dollar tighten global financial conditions and raise the cost of dollar-denominated commodity imports. Feed importers in emerging markets face higher currency and funding pressure.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.