
CME Group reports rising demand for fertilizer futures as market participants respond to uncertainty over farm input supply from the Iran war. Aggregate open interest in its benchmark urea contract has reached a four-year high.
CME attributes the surge in enquiries directly to Middle East developments.
Heavier hedging activity in urea futures signals that buyers expect continued supply risk through the Gulf, which can keep nitrogen prices supported into the fall buying season. For feed buyers this is a cost-side signal rather than an immediate price move.
Setelah 205 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (53% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,1% sampai +3,0%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.