
UN Secretary-General Guterres proposed a neutral coordination mechanism managed from Oman to facilitate fertilizer shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. The strait has been effectively closed to commercial traffic since late February, cutting off roughly 20% of seaborne fertilizer exports.
The plan works only if all parties to the conflict accept it, and Tehran opposes the US position on transit fees.
A workable transit mechanism would restore fertilizer flows and ease the supply premium in urea, but Iran's rejection of key conditions leaves the outcome uncertain.
Setelah 17 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median -1,9% selama 5 sesi (41% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -3,1% sampai +2,8%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.