AUD/USD traded near 0.7166 as markets weighed rising Fed and RBA rate-hike expectations. The CME FedWatch Tool showed a 65% probability of a September Fed hike after Warsh's speech.
The dollar index fell 0.27% to about 99.41 on Monday, and renewed US-Iran hostilities kept energy inflation risks in focus.
Fed hike odds support the dollar, which pressures dollar-priced commodities, while renewed Middle East fighting lifts energy costs that feed into fuel and fertilizer. The mix of the two drives near-term commodity pricing.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.