
Brent returned to $100 a barrel as U.S. Treasury yields jumped, with five-year yields moving above 5% for the first time since 2007. The rupee faces pressure from these moves and from about $3.5 billion of net foreign selling in stocks and bonds this month.
The RBI has been selling dollars spot and forward to defend the 96-per-dollar level.
Higher oil and U.S. yields raise India's import costs and drain capital, pushing USD/INR toward the RBI's defended level. Intervention can also tighten rupee liquidity and raise short-term borrowing rates.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Setelah 323 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median +0,7% selama 5 sesi (58% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,9% sampai +3,7%), dan +1,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.