
Brazilian assets are becoming more volatile as the first round of the presidential election approaches, with a tight race driving rates and FX. Longer-term DI rates fell about 0.5 percentage point since mid-August, while the real held between R$5.10 and R$5.15 per dollar.
Election-driven swings in the real change the dollar cost of Brazilian exports, so they can shift the competitiveness of Brazilian soybeans, corn and meal against US supply.
Setelah 92 peristiwa makro netral sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (58% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,7% sampai +1,4%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.