
China's 2026 urea export quota is 3.3 million tonnes, about 1.7 million below 2025 shipments of roughly 5 million tonnes. Beijing also sets minimum FOB price floors of $430–$440/t, rising to $500/t for India-bound cargoes.
Indian state tenders have been heavily oversubscribed.
A sharply reduced Chinese quota removes a major share of global urea supply, and China's price floors put a cost floor under world nitrogen prices. This supports urea into Q4 and raises the cost of nitrogen used in feed-grain production.
Setelah 129 peristiwa kebijakan bullish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (47% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +2,3%), dan +1,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.