
Malaysia's commodities ministry has proposed cutting its palm oil export tax by as much as half, from 8% to 4%-6%, to help address a global edible oil shortage. The temporary measure would also slow implementation of the B30 biodiesel mandate to prioritise supply for food use.
A lower export tax would encourage Malaysian exports and add supply to a tight global vegetable oil market, while slowing the biodiesel mandate reduces domestic palm oil demand for fuel, both bearish for palm oil prices and supportive for soy oil substitution demand.
Setelah 400 peristiwa kebijakan bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Sawit bergerak median -0,0% selama 5 sesi (49% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +1,1%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 196 peristiwa kebijakan netral sebelumnya, Minyak Kedelai bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (52% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,6% sampai +2,0%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Proposed Malaysian palm oil export tax cut and slower B30 mandate would raise exportable supply and cut biofuel demand, bearish for palm prices around May 9-10.