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An IFPRI analysis says Russia's July 2023 withdrawal from the Black Sea Grain Initiative raises fears of reduced wheat and other grain exports to developing countries. The deal had enabled Ukraine to export 33 million tonnes of grain, mostly to developing nations.
Russia has argued the deal's benefits for Africa were overstated.
Loss of the deal's export flows and its price-stabilising effect could raise wheat import costs for sub-Saharan Africa and support global wheat prices.
ifpri.orgJoseph Glauber, Soonho Kim, Elsa Olivetti, Rob Vos7 Agu 2023Setelah 361 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,7% selama 5 sesi (58% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +3,7%), dan +1,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
