Rabobank warned urea prices face substantial upside risk after production cuts tied to energy costs, including ammonia curtailments across European plants. China's hydropower shortfall is forcing power restrictions on urea plants, and government export controls have already pushed Chinese urea prices down from a June record.
Potash and phosphate costs are expected to ease.
Curtailed nitrogen output and constrained Chinese exports tighten global urea supply, supporting higher nitrogen input costs for feed grain and livestock producers. Lower potash and phosphate prices partly offset this.
Setelah 129 peristiwa kebijakan bullish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (47% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +2,3%), dan +1,4% selama 20 sesi.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.