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The Chinese yuan slid to near eight-month lows against the US dollar after June consumer price data missed expectations and producer prices continued to deflate. The PBOC set its daily midpoint at 7.1342, its weakest since November 2023, while the dollar rebounded after Fed Chair Powell suggested rate cuts might not come as soon as markets hoped.
Weak yuan and firm dollar make Chinese feed imports from the US and Brazil more expensive in local currency, which can dampen Chinese demand for soybeans, meal and corn. Controlled yuan weakness signals soft domestic demand, a modestly bearish backdrop for Chinese-linked feed demand.
vtmarkets.comanakin10 Jul 2024Setelah 398 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD) bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (56% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,5%), dan +0,0% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 273 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median -0,4% selama 5 sesi (44% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,4% sampai +1,4%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Weak June CPI/PPI and a dollar rebound pushed the yuan to eight-month lows around 7/10, with the PBOC's weakest fixing since November 2023 feeding into the 7/11 CNY move.
