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European importers reported Argentine soybean meal shipments containing traces of the GMO event HB4, which is not authorized in the EU. The reports triggered rejection fears and pushed CBOT soybean futures nearly 3% higher on April 27.
Argentine Up River meal basis fell to a two-month low at a $7/short ton discount to CBOT.
Possible rejections of Argentine meal, the world's largest meal export flow, would shift EU demand toward US meal and widen Argentine export discounts. Buyers should expect firmer CBOT meal and soybean prices and weaker South American basis.
spglobal.comJose Roberto Gomes, Nanditha Kinavoor madathil, Elizabeth Machuca, Paola Caballeros28 Apr 2026Setelah 342 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, Bungkil Kedelai bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,1% sampai +2,6%), dan +0,6% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 696 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +1,9%), dan +0,7% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
EU detection of unauthorized HB4 GMO traces in Argentine meal raised rejection fears and cut Argentine supply availability, driving CBOT soybean and meal futures about 3% higher on April 27.
