Natural gas futures rose about 6.2% to near $2.60 per mmBtu on Tuesday, and the UNG fund gained 2.6%. Models showed colder weather ahead, with the GFS adding more than 15 heating degree days.
Analysts said a large speculative short position could be forced to cover if the heating-demand outlook held.
Stronger heating-demand forecasts and short covering can push gas prices higher in the near term. Higher gas prices also raise power and fuel costs for feed producers.
Setelah 221 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gas Alam bergerak median +3,3% selama 5 sesi (61% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -5,2% sampai +14,0%), dan -0,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Colder weather model runs (GFS adding 15+ heating degree days) boosted the demand outlook and a large speculative short position risked covering, amplifying the price jump.
Colder weather model runs (GFS adding 15+ heating degree days) lifted prices about 6% and raised the prospect of a large speculative short position covering, amplifying the rally.