
India's urea tender closed December 19 with only 187,000 tonnes secured at a west coast L1 price of USD 369.75/tonne, and the east coast offer was withdrawn. Urea prices are rising globally, with Middle East and Brazil offers in the USD 370-380 range, while China restricts phosphate exports and DAP trades are limited.
A short Indian tender and firming global urea prices point to a bullish fertilizer outlook as India is expected to return to the market, raising input costs for grain and oilseed producers.
Setelah 176 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +2,4%), dan +1,6% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 193 peristiwa perdagangan bullish sebelumnya, DAP bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (54% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +1,8%), dan +1,9% selama 20 sesi.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
India's urea tender fell short (only 187,000 t secured, east coast offer withdrawn) while Middle East and Brazil offers firmed at USD 370-380, signaling tight global supply and supporting a price rise.