
An Amundi strategist argues that China faces a difficult task stabilising the renminbi after offshore volatility surged at the start of 2017. A liquidity drought lifted the HIBOR overnight rate to 61 percent, forcing short CNH positions to unwind.
Authorities have built a firewall against further volatility.
Persistent renminbi pressure and capital outflows keep China's currency risk elevated, which can affect the economics of dollar-priced feed imports.
Setelah 169 peristiwa makro netral sebelumnya, Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD) bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (50% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
HIBOR overnight rates spiking to 61% forced unwinding of short CNH positions, supporting the yuan.