US winter wheat development is well behind last year, with 13% headed versus 30% a year earlier, and Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas have no or lagging headed crop. These three states account for just over half of US winter wheat plantings.
Dry conditions in central Europe and the Balkans and a late Russian spring also support prices.
Slow US crop development raises yield risk for the largest winter wheat states, supporting HRW and global wheat prices. Tighter wheat supply lifts feed-grain alternatives and improves the cost outlook for feed buyers.
Setelah 322 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (HRW) bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (49% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,5% sampai +3,2%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 1.072 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (55% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,3%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Winter wheat development lagging well behind last year in key HRW states, plus dry conditions in Europe and a late Russian spring, point to tighter supply and underpin the price rally.