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Front-month ICE Brent futures rose 8.97% on June 13, their largest one-day jump in as many as five years, after Israel struck Iranian nuclear sites and killed a top commander. No damage to energy infrastructure had been reported.
Analysts said the outcome depends on whether Iranian oil exports are affected.
JP Morgan's worst-case scenario puts a loss of over 2.1 million b/d of Iranian exports, which could push Dated Brent to $120-$130 a barrel. That would raise energy costs across feed production and freight.
spglobal.com13 Jun 2025Setelah 656 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median +1,9% selama 5 sesi (63% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,7% sampai +6,6%), dan +0,7% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 626 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median +2,1% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,3% sampai +8,5%), dan +1,6% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Brent's 8.97% one-day jump on June 13 after Israel struck Iranian nuclear sites was the main driver of the 5-day move, via a geopolitical supply-risk premium.
Israel struck Iranian nuclear sites, and ICE Brent had its largest one-day jump in years as traders priced in risks to Iranian exports.
Front-month Brent had its largest one-day jump in years on June 13 as Israel struck Iranian nuclear sites, which added a geopolitical supply-risk premium.
Brent had its largest one-day jump in years after strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, with the price outcome dependent on Iranian export risk.
