
Wheat prices rallied from April 18 to May 13, with July CBOT futures rising from $5.53 to $6.87 per bushel, the highest since August 2023. The rally was driven by severe frosts in central and southern Russia in early May and dry conditions affecting Russian crop development.
Weather damage to Russian wheat cuts export supply in a major exporting region, lifting global wheat prices. Continued stress during heading and flowering could add further upside.
Setelah 1.072 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (55% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,4% sampai +2,3%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 322 peristiwa cuaca bullish sebelumnya, Gandum (HRW) bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (49% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,5% sampai +3,2%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
The frost and dryness-driven rally to a multi-month high on May 13 left HRW overextended, so the -6.77% drop on May 14 was likely a reversal as that weather premium was unwound.