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According to Goldman Sachs, China's central bank changed its yuan fixing mechanism after the US presidential election to support a stronger currency. The move was made as capital outflows grew and President-elect Trump threatened protectionist trade policies.
A deliberate change in fixing practice signals state intervention to stabilize the yuan, which reduces the odds of a sharp devaluation that would hit Chinese import demand. Trade-policy threats also keep US-China export flows uncertain.
bloomberg.comYe Xie9 Jan 2017Setelah 50 peristiwa kebijakan bearish sebelumnya, Yuan Tiongkok (CNY per USD) bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +0,4%), dan -0,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Goldman noted the PBOC fixing mechanism was geared toward a stronger currency, a policy signal that anchored yuan strength.
