The Fed raised rates by 25bp and Chair Yellen struck a more optimistic tone than markets expected, despite a drop in inflation. The Fed raised its GDP forecasts, lowered its unemployment estimates and reaffirmed a third hike for 2017.
The dollar traded sharply higher in response after weak retail and inflation reports had prompted short-dollar positioning.
A hawkish surprise from the Fed lifted the dollar sharply after a short-dollar positioning build-up, which tends to pressure dollar-priced grain and oilseed markets.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Yellen's upbeat tone and raised GDP forecasts reversed short-dollar positioning, producing a sharp dollar rally.