Investors moved to price an end to Fed rate hikes after a weak US labor report and softer October inflation data. The US 10-year yield fell below 4.5% and the Dollar Index posted its worst day of the year, down 1.5%.
Lower yields and a weaker dollar reduce the cost of holding commodities and tend to support dollar-denominated grain and meal prices.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 388 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +1,1%), dan +0,1% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
It describes softer US inflation and a weak labor report that led markets to price an end to Fed hikes, with the Dollar Index posting its worst day of the year (-1.5%), which explains the EUR/USD jump through lower US yields.