
US crude rose about 5% on Thursday, its third straight daily gain, after President Biden commented on whether the US would support an Israeli strike on Iranian oil facilities. WTI was on track for its best weekly gain since March 2023.
Fears of retaliation against Iranian oil infrastructure and possible Hormuz disruption add a significant risk premium that raises energy and freight costs for feed buyers.
Setelah 626 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median +2,1% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,3% sampai +8,5%), dan +1,6% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 656 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median +1,9% selama 5 sesi (63% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,7% sampai +6,6%), dan +0,7% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Biden's comments on a possible Israeli strike on Iranian oil facilities pushed crude about 5% higher on Oct 3, adding to risk premium.