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The Brazilian real, the worst-performing floating EM currency in 2020, has recovered about 10% against the dollar over the last two weeks, returning to 5.3 per dollar from above 5.9. The article notes that the Covid-19 epidemic is accelerating sharply in Brazil and that capital flight and falling oil prices have weighed on the currency.
Dollar weakness and some EM recovery have supported the real's rebound.
The epidemic's spread weighs on Brazilian growth and feed demand, but the stronger real raises the local cost of Brazilian exports, which can marginally support global feed ingredient prices.
exportplanning.comAlba Di Rosa, Marzia Moccia, Marcello Antonioni29 mai 2020Après 244 événements baissier de tout type passés, Réal brésilien (BRL par USD) a varié en médiane de -0,4 % sur 5 séances (43 % de hausses ; moitié centrale de -1,7 % à +0,9 %), et de +0,1 % sur 20.
Variations du benchmark de chaque matière depuis la dernière clôture avant l'événement. Les lectures historiques regroupent les événements passés de même nature ; elles décrivent ce qui s'est passé, pas ce qui arrivera. Ceci n'est pas un conseil en investissement.
Describes the real's roughly 10% rebound from above 5.9 to about 5.3 per dollar over two weeks, which matches the -7.5% USD/BRL move, attributing it to dollar weakness and an EM recovery; it is dated after the window but describes the same move.
