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Natural gas forward prices declined across the board from January 16 to 22 as traders looked past the cold snap to an adequately supplied market. February prompt prices fell by an average of 53.2 cents, with Rockies and Northwest hubs leading the drop.
Freeze-offs peaked at 8.9 Bcf during Winter Storm Enzo, about half the scale of January 2024's losses.
Forward curve weakness signals the market expects adequate supply through winter and summer, which keeps forward energy costs contained for feed mills. The limited freeze-off losses reinforce that outlook.
naturalgasintel.comAndrew Baker23 janv. 2025Après 104 événements météo baissier passés, Gaz naturel a varié en médiane de -7,8 % sur 5 séances (22 % de hausses ; moitié centrale de -14,8 % à -0,8 %), et de -3,3 % sur 20.
Variations du benchmark de chaque matière depuis la dernière clôture avant l'événement. Les lectures historiques regroupent les événements passés de même nature ; elles décrivent ce qui s'est passé, pas ce qui arrivera. Ceci n'est pas un conseil en investissement.
Forward prices fell as traders looked past the cold snap to an adequately supplied market, with freeze-offs about half the 2024 scale, which eased supply-risk premium.
