USDA outlook chairman Mark Jekanowski said milk and dairy prices have started to decline faster than expected. USDA projects 2023 US milk output to grow by under 1% while the all-milk price falls about 15%, nearly $4 per cwt.
Output growth combined with weak demand and strong international competition points to lower milk prices, while feed costs stay firm and squeeze producer margins. The projected price drop is large enough to move dairy and feed-related market expectations.
Après 273 événements rapport baissier passés, Lait (Classe III) a varié en médiane de -0,2 % sur 5 séances (39 % de hausses ; moitié centrale de -1,3 % à +0,4 %), et de -1,4 % sur 20.
Variations du benchmark de chaque matière depuis la dernière clôture avant l'événement. Les lectures historiques regroupent les événements passés de même nature ; elles décrivent ce qui s'est passé, pas ce qui arrivera. Ceci n'est pas un conseil en investissement.
USDA's outlook for a roughly 15% fall in the all-milk price and prices declining faster than expected reinforced bearish sentiment and likely encouraged selling.
USDA outlook on 2023-01-30 projecting a roughly 15% drop in the all-milk price and faster-than-expected declines in dairy prices fed bearish sentiment ahead of the 1 Feb drop.