Widespread ASAP forecast warnings on crops for second half of the year due to upcoming El Niño conditions

Après 1 072 événements météo haussier passés, Blé (SRW) a varié en médiane de +0,2 % sur 5 séances (55 % de hausses ; moitié centrale de -1,4 % à +2,3 %), et de +0,3 % sur 20.

• 2 avr. 2026Raising energy and fertilizer prices and upcoming El Niño main concerns to farming - Joint Research Centre-1,7 %
• 21 mars 2022Fair start to spring for most European crops - Joint Research Centre+15,8 %
• 4 sept. 2026El Niño drives crop failure in Central America and East Africa and threatens the next season in Southern Africa, East Africa, Western South America, and Southeast Asia - Joint Research Centre+1,4 %
• 21 nov. 2022Exceptionally warm autumn raises concerns in the south of Europe - Joint Research Centre+0,2 %
• 27 juil. 2026Heatwaves impact summer and winter crops - Joint Research Centre-2,0 %

Après 1 465 événements météo haussier passés, Maïs a varié en médiane de +0,2 % sur 5 séances (54 % de hausses ; moitié centrale de -1,4 % à +1,9 %), et de +0,9 % sur 20.

• 2 avr. 2026Raising energy and fertilizer prices and upcoming El Niño main concerns to farming - Joint Research Centre-1,6 %
• 4 sept. 2026El Niño drives crop failure in Central America and East Africa and threatens the next season in Southern Africa, East Africa, Western South America, and Southeast Asia - Joint Research Centre+0,5 %
• 7 oct. 2026El Niño weather extremes worsen food security in East Africa and Central America and threaten next season crops in Southern Africa and South America - Joint Research Centre-2,4 %
• 13 nov. 2023Ongoing El Nino forecast to bring dry conditions in Southern Africa, SE Asia, Central America and wet conditions in Eastern Africa - Agroportal-0,5 %
• 8 juin 2026Agricultural production threatened by combination of El Niño and high input prices - Joint Research Centre-0,9 %