
Brazil's real fell to a three-month low of 5.73 per dollar on Tuesday and closed at 5.6662, its weakest close since November 2020. The central bank sold more than $2 billion in spot FX on the day, and over $5 billion since the previous Thursday, without reversing the slide.
Investors were worried about the government's fiscal position.
A weaker real makes Brazilian soybeans, corn and meal cheaper in dollar terms, which encourages farmers and exporters to sell and can pressure world feed grain and meal prices. Central bank intervention has limited effect when the driver is fiscal, so the currency weakness may persist.
Après 301 événements macro haussier passés, Réal brésilien (BRL par USD) a varié en médiane de +0,4 % sur 5 séances (57 % de hausses ; moitié centrale de -1,2 % à +1,7 %), et de +1,0 % sur 20.
Variations du benchmark de chaque matière depuis la dernière clôture avant l'événement. Les lectures historiques regroupent les événements passés de même nature ; elles décrivent ce qui s'est passé, pas ce qui arrivera. Ceci n'est pas un conseil en investissement.
Real hit a three-month low on fiscal worries despite heavy central bank dollar sales, which shows strong sentiment-driven selling pressure that plausibly carried into the March 4 move, though it is dated a day earlier and the exact size of the 3.34% move is not explained.