# Is the Sowing Under Threat?

> SovEcon forecasts Russian wheat exports for July-September 2026 at 5.4 million tonnes, the lowest for that period since 2010. Drone attacks since 10 July 2026 halted several Azov and Black Sea grain and oilseed terminals, and shipowners have pulled back from high-risk routes, leaving more wheat in the domestic market where purchase prices are falling.

- Date: 2026-11-14 · published 2026-11-14T19:37:55.583Z
- Category: logistics · region Russia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/99909-is-the-sowing-under-threat
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Russian export availability tightens global wheat supply and supports world prices, while domestic price declines hurt Russian farm margins and could cut planting. Feed buyers should expect firmer wheat values from the Black Sea.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-08-02 | [Bumper crop under threat from harvest worker shortage - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45531-bumper-crop-under-threat-from-harvest-worker-shortage-abc-news.md) | +1.8% | +2.3% |
| WHEAT | 2019-11-27 | [Strengthening HRS Basis Seen on Both Sides of the Border](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56143-strengthening-hrs-basis-seen-on-both-sides-of-the-border.md) | -0.1% | -1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2019-11-20 | [CN Rail strike comes at 'probably the worst time' in Thunder Bay shipping season \| CBC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56078-cn-rail-strike-comes-at-probably-the-worst-time-in-thunder-bay-shipping-season.md) | +0.9% | -0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2022-12-01 | [Ongoing Svitzer tug of war threatens grain exports - Mecardo](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38251-ongoing-svitzer-tug-of-war-threatens-grain-exports-mecardo.md) | -9.9% | -2.4% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-12 | [Carriers Divert Sailings Amid Growing Threat of Canada Rail Strike \| SupplyChainBrain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29793-carriers-divert-sailings-amid-growing-threat-of-canada-rail-strike.md) | -2.1% | -3.3% |

## Sources

- plus.moe-online.ru: https://plus.moe-online.ru/paper/1662/22069

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.