# EU agricultural forecasts for 2026/27: sugar production falls, cereal harvest stable

> EU cereal output for 2026/27 is projected to return to an average of 273.7 million tonnes after exceptionally high wheat and barley crops last season. Oilseed production is expected to rise 3.1%, with record oilseed meal output. EU sugar production is forecast to fall 13% below the five-year average because of smaller beet area.

- Date: 2026-11-14 · published 2026-11-14T15:13:44.681Z
- Category: report · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/99615-eu-agricultural-forecasts-for-2026-27-sugar-production-falls-cereal-harvest
- Commodities: [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Record EU oilseed meal output adds supply to the protein feed market and weighs on soybean meal and rapeseed meal prices. Stable cereal output and strong wheat exports keep grain prices supported but not stressed.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBM | 2026-05-14 | [USDA forecasts sharp growth in global oilseed production in MY 2026/27 - AgriInsite](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19371-usda-forecasts-sharp-growth-in-global-oilseed-production-in-my-2026-27.md) | -2.8% | -9.8% |
| SBM | 2023-09-06 | [U.S. Agricultural Exports Forecast at $172.0 Billion in Fiscal Year 2024 - Farm Policy News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14815-u-s-agricultural-exports-forecast-at-172-0-billion-in-fiscal-year-2024-farm.md) | -0.1% | -9.4% |
| SBM | 2019-05-12 | [FAO: Record cereal harvests expected for South America in 2019](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59012-fao-record-cereal-harvests-expected-for-south-america-in-2019.md) | +3.6% | +10.3% |
| SBM | 2024-02-20 | [FAS forecasts China's chicken production, consumption down in 2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31831-fas-forecasts-china-s-chicken-production-consumption-down-in-2024.md) | -3.3% | -5.5% |
| SBM | 2023-12-11 | [USDA experts raised forecasts for global production of edible oils and meals](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32819-usda-experts-raised-forecasts-for-global-production-of-edible-oils-and-meals.md) | -3.5% | -10.2% |

## Sources

- nawozy.eu: https://nawozy.eu/aktualnosci/newsy/unia-europejska/prognozy-dla-rolnictwa-ue-na-2026-27-spadek-produkcji-cukru-i-stabilne-zbiory-zboz

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.