# The European weather model amplifies rain for France: more than 100 mm possible in 6 regions by Thursday 19

> An oceanic disturbed westerly flow boosted by an atmospheric river is forecast to bring near-daily rain to France from Sunday 15 November. Forecasters expect cumulative totals above 100 mm in six regions by Thursday 19 November, with gusty winds and snow in the mountains. The Mediterranean coast is expected to be largely spared.

- Date: 2026-11-14 · published 2026-11-14T15:13:44.617Z
- Category: weather · region France · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/99614-the-european-weather-model-amplifies-rain-for-france-more-than-100-mm-possible
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Heavy rain after a dry spell could delay autumn field work and sowing in France, the EU's largest grain producer. Any sustained disruption to planting or harvest logistics would be a modest supportive factor for wheat and feed grain prices.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-05-14 | [Weather models point to possible La Nina in spring - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53051-weather-models-point-to-possible-la-nina-in-spring-grain-central.md) | +0.4% | +1.0% |
| WHEAT | 2017-07-20 | [Exceptional Drought Returns to Montana and North Dakota for First Time in More Than a Decade \| The Weather Channel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69878-exceptional-drought-returns-to-montana-and-north-dakota-for-first-time-in-more.md) | -2.7% | +0.0% |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-14 | [European wheat crop shaken by wild French weather \| The Land \| NSW](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40876-european-wheat-crop-shaken-by-wild-french-weather-the-land-nsw.md) | -1.6% | -13.3% |
| WHEAT | 2018-03-20 | [MARS describes European weather conditions as still](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65940-mars-describes-european-weather-conditions-as-still.md) | +0.6% | +4.6% |
| WHEAT | 2022-05-05 | [Dry weather in France will cause irreversible damage to crops -Expert](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41358-dry-weather-in-france-will-cause-irreversible-damage-to-crops-expert.md) | -0.2% | +0.3% |

## Sources

- tameteo.com: https://www.tameteo.com/actualites/previsions/le-modele-meteo-europeen-accentue-les-pluies-pour-la-france-plus-de-100-mm-possibles-dans-6-regions-d-ici-jeudi-previsions-cumuls-zonal.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.