# USDA WASDE Grain Report: Rare Bullish Surprise, Cautious Outlook

> USDA's November WASDE report cut the corn yield below expectations and raised the soybean yield by less than the market had priced in, lifting grain futures after months of bearish surprises. Wheat rose alongside corn and soybeans despite little fundamental support from the report itself. Analysts advise watching for a 25-30% retracement of prior losses before resuming stored-grain sales.

- Date: 2026-11-14 · published 2026-11-14T15:13:31.208Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/99613-usda-wasde-grain-report-rare-bullish-surprise-cautious-outlook
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A lower US corn yield tightens the feed grain balance and supports corn-based feed costs, while the smaller soybean yield increase limits bearish pressure on soybean meal. Buyers should expect firmer prices but be cautious, as the wheat rally appears borrowed from the row-crop complex.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-01-12 | [Grain prices soar on bullish USDA reports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49089-grain-prices-soar-on-bullish-usda-reports.md) | +5.8% | +11.6% |
| CORN | 2021-06-11 | [Old-Crop Corn Stocks Surprise of WASDE Report \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46505-old-crop-corn-stocks-surprise-of-wasde-report-feed-and-grain.md) | -6.1% | -4.6% |
| CORN | 2021-06-10 | [Corn stocks cut in USDA WASDE report - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46509-corn-stocks-cut-in-usda-wasde-report-grainews.md) | -1.8% | -2.6% |
| CORN | 2023-10-12 | [CBOT weekly outlook: Markets react bullishly to USDA report - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33588-cbot-weekly-outlook-markets-react-bullishly-to-usda-report-agcanada.md) | -0.4% | -1.5% |
| CORN | 2021-08-19 | [Global Wheat Stocks-to-Use Ratio Supports Bullish Prices Outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45611-global-wheat-stocks-to-use-ratio-supports-bullish-prices-outlook.md) | -1.0% | -7.2% |
| SOY | 2021-01-12 | [Grain prices soar on bullish USDA reports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49089-grain-prices-soar-on-bullish-usda-reports.md) | +0.8% | +2.0% |
| SOY | 2020-12-10 | [CBOT weekly outlook: Some surprises in USDA's WASDE - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49579-cbot-weekly-outlook-some-surprises-in-usda-s-wasde-agcanada.md) | +2.2% | +18.8% |
| SOY | 2023-10-12 | [CBOT weekly outlook: Markets react bullishly to USDA report - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33588-cbot-weekly-outlook-markets-react-bullishly-to-usda-report-agcanada.md) | +4.7% | +7.7% |

## Sources

- agribusinesswire.com: https://agribusinesswire.com/articles/usda-wasde-delivers-rare-bullish-surprise-for-grains-but-analysts-urge-caution

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.