# ‘A Few Thoughts’ by John Nalivka: As the market heads into 2023, what if? | TSLN.com

> John Nalivka's commentary projects a cattle market rally into 2023, with the Choice cutout up 13% since early December amid severe winter storms. He compares this with the average 2015-2019 seasonal pattern and forecasts the May 2023 Choice cutout near $282/cwt. He expects fed cattle numbers to fall significantly by late second quarter 2023.

- Date: 2022-12-30 · published 2022-12-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: market · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/9960-a-few-thoughts-by-john-nalivka-as-the-market-heads-into-2023-what-if-tsln-com
- Commodities: [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md), [Feeder Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FCATTLE.md)

## Why it matters

Expected decline in fed cattle supplies into spring and a rising cutout point to firmer cattle prices and stronger feeder demand for feed buyers.

## Read by commodity

- FCATTLE: bullish ▲
- LCATTLE: bullish ▲

## Sources

- tsln.com: https://www.tsln.com/opinion/a-few-thoughts/a-few-thoughts-by-john-nalivka-as-the-market-heads-into-2023-what-if/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.