# Brazil's grain output forecast to fall 2.6 pct in 2027

> Brazil's statistics institute IBGE forecasts 2027 grain output at 346.6 million tonnes, down 2.6% from a record 355.8 million tonnes in 2026. Planted area is projected to fall slightly to 83.2 million hectares. IBGE links the expected decline to El Niño rainfall changes and higher oil-driven production costs.

- Date: 2026-11-14 · published 2026-11-14T15:11:29.458Z
- Category: report · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/99592-brazil-s-grain-output-forecast-to-fall-2-6-pct-in-2027
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller Brazilian crop in 2027 would reduce exportable corn and soybean supply, supporting prices for feed grains and meals. Higher input costs could also weigh on planted area.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2026-07-16 | [IGC sees grains output falling in 2026-27 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9570-igc-sees-grains-output-falling-in-2026-27-world-grain.md) | +3.7% | -0.9% |
| CORN | 2026-10-01 | [COCERAL lowers EU grain output forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17429-coceral-lowers-eu-grain-output-forecast.md) | -1.4% | -6.4% |
| CORN | 2023-07-19 | [Safras & Mercado Forecasts Brazil Soy to Increase 4.5% in 2023/24](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13640-safras-and-mercado-forecasts-brazil-soy-to-increase-4-5-in-2023-24.md) | +13.6% | -6.1% |
| CORN | 2026-04-23 | [EU overall grains production forecast to decline \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19660-eu-overall-grains-production-forecast-to-decline-world-grain.md) | +1.7% | +2.9% |
| CORN | 2018-08-10 | [Brazil corn output revised downward \| 2018-08-10  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63377-brazil-corn-output-revised-downward-2018-08-10-world-grain.md) | -7.5% | -9.1% |
| SOY | 2025-02-13 | [Brazil’s Conab Raises Grain Output Forecast on Bigger Corn Crop](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13512-brazil-s-conab-raises-grain-output-forecast-on-bigger-corn-crop.md) | +1.7% | -3.0% |
| SOY | 2024-02-09 | [Conab slashes Brazil soybean output to 149.4M tonnes and corn to 113.6M tonnes - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13588-conab-slashes-brazil-soybean-output-to-149-4m-tonnes-and-corn-to-113-6m-tonnes.md) | -2.6% | -1.9% |
| SOY | 2026-07-10 | [FAS sees slight dip in Argentine soy output \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13787-fas-sees-slight-dip-in-argentine-soy-output-world-grain.md) | +1.3% | -1.9% |

## Sources

- english.news.cn: https://english.news.cn/20261114/c06922aca7a147f2a20c97ad52db9c45/c.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.