# ECB December Hike Likely Last, But Inflation Risks Keep Door Ajar: Reuters Poll

> A Reuters poll indicates the European Central Bank will deliver a final rate hike in December, while elevated inflation risks leave room for further tightening. The December meeting is widely expected to bring a 50 basis point increase to a 2.5% deposit rate.

- Date: 2026-11-14 · published 2026-11-14T15:10:09.726Z
- Category: macro · region EU · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/99569-ecb-december-hike-likely-last-but-inflation-risks-keep-door-ajar-reuters-poll
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md)

## Why it matters

Tighter eurozone monetary policy strengthens the euro and can ease pressure on dollar-priced commodities for European buyers. The outlook for a near-term peak in rates reduces macro volatility for feed markets.

## Read by commodity

- EURUSD: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2021-09-02 | [Inflation shock and ECB hawks keep euro near 1-month high \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45264-inflation-shock-and-ecb-hawks-keep-euro-near-1-month-high-reuters.md) | -0.2% | -2.3% |
| EURUSD | 2026-09-01 | [Euro zone inflation rises above 3%, cementing ECB rate hike bets \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17697-euro-zone-inflation-rises-above-3-cementing-ecb-rate-hike-bets-reuters.md) | +0.1% | -2.4% |
| EURUSD | 2021-10-19 | [ECB's Rehn warns of risk if inflation surge lasts much longer \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44758-ecb-s-rehn-warns-of-risk-if-inflation-surge-lasts-much-longer-reuters.md) | 0.0% | -2.4% |
| EURUSD | 2022-07-13 | [Euro back above parity, dollar dips after inflation surges \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40688-euro-back-above-parity-dollar-dips-after-inflation-surges-reuters.md) | +1.7% | +1.6% |
| EURUSD | 2023-01-23 | [Dollar edges lower vs euro on ECB rate hike bets \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37999-dollar-edges-lower-vs-euro-on-ecb-rate-hike-bets-reuters.md) | +0.2% | -1.4% |

## Sources

- vnixacademy.com: https://vnixacademy.com/news/ecb-set-for-last-rate-hike-in-december-but-inflation-risks-k-17q2jii

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.