# Global beef supply projected to fall by around 15%

> Víctor Tonelli presented projections at the 5th Federal Livestock Congress in Rosario estimating global beef supply could fall about 15% between 2025 and 2028. He said 84% of the global cattle sector has started retaining animals, a process that could last five to ten years.

- Date: 2026-11-13 · published 2026-11-14T12:12:36.909Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/99365-global-beef-supply-projected-to-fall-by-around-15
- Commodities: [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md), [Feeder Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FCATTLE.md)

## Why it matters

A projected global beef supply contraction, driven by herd rebuilding, would tighten beef availability and support higher cattle prices and stronger demand for feed. The slow herd rebuild limits how quickly production can respond.

## Read by commodity

- FCATTLE: bullish ▲
- LCATTLE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| LCATTLE | 2023-01-05 | [Global uncertainties affect beef production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37727-global-uncertainties-affect-beef-production.md) | +0.1% | -0.5% |
| LCATTLE | 2026-04-02 | [Animal feed, fats and proteins: Market outlook and supply chain dynamics – webinar summary - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19832-animal-feed-fats-and-proteins-market-outlook-and-supply-chain-dynamics-webinar.md) | +3.1% | +5.2% |
| LCATTLE | 2025-09-27 | [A lot at steak: US beef and cattle prices soar to record highs \| Beef \| The Guardian](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23000-a-lot-at-steak-us-beef-and-cattle-prices-soar-to-record-highs-beef-the-guardian.md) | -1.2% | +0.9% |
| LCATTLE | 2023-05-31 | [The Cattle and Beef Margin Squeeze: Peel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5226-the-cattle-and-beef-margin-squeeze-peel.md) | +4.1% | +4.4% |
| LCATTLE | 2026-06-01 | [Corn, Wheat Continue to Fall with Crude Oil: Soybeans and Cattle Rally](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19274-corn-wheat-continue-to-fall-with-crude-oil-soybeans-and-cattle-rally.md) | -0.3% | +1.6% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-09-27 | [A lot at steak: US beef and cattle prices soar to record highs \| Beef \| The Guardian](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23000-a-lot-at-steak-us-beef-and-cattle-prices-soar-to-record-highs-beef-the-guardian.md) | +0.0% | -0.8% |
| FCATTLE | 2023-05-31 | [The Cattle and Beef Margin Squeeze: Peel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5226-the-cattle-and-beef-margin-squeeze-peel.md) | -0.0% | +1.3% |
| FCATTLE | 2022-06-23 | [Hog, live cattle futures fall on recession fears - CME
						 \| The Beef Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41079-hog-live-cattle-futures-fall-on-recession-fears-cme-the-beef-site.md) | -1.4% | +3.0% |

## Sources

- argenfields.com: https://www.argenfields.com/en/noticias/oferta-mundial-de-carne-vacuna-proyectan-una-caida-de-alrededor-de-un-15-1bd41b

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.